Team Strength MLP

After determing some disadvantages of the Poisson model, I started using Tensorflow to create my first own model based on neural networks. I called it the Team Strength MLP, as the base variables are the same as for the Poisson model. These variables correlate with the relative strength of a team to the league average. The first version of the model just uses the ability of a team to score and prevent goals. Later on, this can be extended by several variables for more detailed strength information.

 

In following blog posts, I analyse the picks selected by the Team Strength MLP model to get more insights about the weaknesses of my model:

 

Pick history stats for the Bundesliga season 2018/19.

 

 

 

 

 

If you have further questions, feel free to leave a comment or contact me @Mo_Nbg.