This site provides you a list all available BeatTheBookie data service endpoints, what data is provided and which parameters have to be provided.
Update 2020/09/07
The data service provides now 3 additional Poisson models based on xG data.
Endpoints
/zip-poisson-model
The endpoint provides data of my good old ZIP Poisson model.
| Parameter | Default | Values |
| mode | pred | “pred” – provides predictions for next matches “hist” – provides historic matches including predictions |
| division | no default (mandatory) | “2. Bundesliga”, “Serie A”, “La Liga”, “Bundesliga”, “Ligue 1”, “Premier League” |
It returns the match facts as well as the predictive features (e.g. attack / defence strength) for the teams as well as differt market predictions.
[
{
"division_id": "a355facc87c038e88972f99b7c6d388b",
"division": "2. Bundesliga",
"season_id": "a290f895d08db6bb30a573aedf784bad",
"season": "2021_2022",
"match_date": "2021-08-01",
"match_teams": "Erzgebirge Aue - St Pauli",
"home_team_id": "85a7e0e269f59e495ff35ebae520a3fd",
"home_team": "Erzgebirge Aue",
"away_team_id": "a34346a46ada46edcae15a6944c3920e",
"away_team": "St Pauli",
"home_attacking_strength": 1.09,
"home_defence_strength": 1.11,
"away_attacking_strength": 0.88,
"away_defence_strength": 1.23,
"home_expected_goals": 2.2,
"away_expected_goals": 1.3,
"home_win_prob": 0.5793,
"draw_prob": 0.2032,
"away_win_prob": 0.2176,
"under_15_prob": 0.1508,
"over_15_prob": 0.8492,
"under_25_prob": 0.3425,
"over_25_prob": 0.6575
},
...
Following divisions and seasons are provided via the endpoint:
| Division | Predictive scope | Historic scope |
| 2. Bundesliga | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2008/09 |
| Bundesliga | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2008/09 |
| Premier League | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2008/09 |
| Serie A | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2008/09 |
| La Liga | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2008/09 |
| Ligue 1 | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2008/09 |
/vanilla-poisson-xg-model
This endpoint provides the predictions of 3 different xG Poisson models compared in this blog post. I decided to provide following models:
- Short-term: xG EMA10
- Mid-term: xG EMA20
- Long-term: xG EMA30
So it’s possible to differ between e.g. the short-term and long-term performance of a team, when analysing a match.
| Parameter | Default | Values |
| mode | pred | “pred” – provides predictions for next matches “hist” – provides historic matches including predictions |
| division | no default (mandatory) | “Serie A”, “La Liga”, “Bundesliga”, “Ligue 1”, “Premier League” |
For the upcoming fixtures the endpoint provides the model features and prediction results for all 3 models. The historic fixtures also contain the match statistics for goals and xG.
[
{
"division_id": "dff80cb4edd4a90c83a23346b5b9bef0",
"division": "Bundesliga",
"season_id": "06b84148ed1c6a06340478bef065f5bc",
"season": "2021_2022",
"match_date": "2021-09-11",
"match_teams": "Leverkusen - Dortmund",
"home_team_id": "31f296e354f2693c68d01f1570ca3df1",
"home_team": "Leverkusen",
"away_team_id": "2728451089b9149bad7b106a792e51f9",
"away_team": "Dortmund",
"home_xg_attack_strength_ema10": 1.19,
"home_xg_attack_strength_ema20": 1.18,
"home_xg_attack_strength_ema30": 1.2,
"home_xg_defence_strength_ema10": 1.07,
"home_xg_defence_strength_ema20": 1.01,
"home_xg_defence_strength_ema30": 0.97,
"away_xg_attack_strength_ema10": 1.13,
"away_xg_attack_strength_ema20": 1.2,
"away_xg_attack_strength_ema30": 1.23,
"away_xg_defence_strength_ema10": 0.95,
"away_xg_defence_strength_ema20": 0.89,
"away_xg_defence_strength_ema30": 0.86,
"home_expected_goals_ema10": 1.7,
"home_expected_goals_ema20": 1.6,
"home_expected_goals_ema30": 1.5,
"away_expected_goals_ema10": 1.7,
"away_expected_goals_ema20": 1.7,
"away_expected_goals_ema30": 1.7,
"home_win_prob_ema10": 0.3871,
"home_win_prob_ema20": 0.3589,
"home_win_prob_ema30": 0.3574,
"draw_prob_ema10": 0.2269,
"draw_prob_ema20": 0.2309,
"draw_prob_ema30": 0.2331,
"away_win_prob_ema10": 0.386,
"away_win_prob_ema20": 0.4102,
"away_win_prob_ema30": 0.4095,
"under_15_prob_ema10": 0.1482,
"under_15_prob_ema20": 0.162,
"under_15_prob_ema30": 0.1688,
"over_15_prob_ema10": 0.8518,
"over_15_prob_ema20": 0.838,
"over_15_prob_ema30": 0.8312,
"under_25_prob_ema10": 0.342,
"under_25_prob_ema20": 0.3651,
"under_25_prob_ema30": 0.3761,
"over_25_prob_ema10": 0.658,
"over_25_prob_ema20": 0.6349,
"over_25_prob_ema30": 0.6239
},
...
Following divisions and seasons are provided via the endpoint:
| Division | Predictive scope | Historic scope |
| Bundesliga | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2014/15 |
| Premier League | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2014/15 |
| Serie A | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2014/15 |
| La Liga | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2014/15 |
| Ligue 1 | Upcoming 1-2 matchdays | Since 2014/15 |
