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Month: Dec 2022

Posted on Dec 25, 2022

Vanilla Poisson performance incl. minor leagues

As already done for the ZIP Poisson model, I also added some smaller leagues data to my Vanilla Poisson model: Championship, Seria B, La Liga 2, Eredivise, Liga Portugal. All these additional leagues are already available through my data service. So it’s time to take a look how profitable these new leagues are using the Vanilly Poisson model.

Continue reading “Vanilla Poisson performance incl. minor leagues”
Posted on Dec 1, 2022

Season 2022/23 – A turning point (in theory)

This will be the 2nd blog about my betting performance in the season 2022/23 using my ML Poisson model. The beginning of the season was a sobering one. My theoraticaly worst model performed the best and the ML Poisson model, which I am using for betting showed a really bad profit. So let’s have a look, how things changed in the 2nd part of the first season half.

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